The Ministry of Agriculture today said that the Hydrometeorological Services have examined the global models and are advising that these global models indicate the emergence of El Nino (dry) conditions by the end of summer.
“This would indicate that Guyana should expect normal to below rainfall in the coming months. July is expected to be near normal in terms of rainfall. Long term average for July shows that normally there are about 23 days of some rain in Guyana and approximately a total of 306.2mm (12.05 inches) of rain in July. The rainfall outlook for July 2012 is a 55% chance that rainfall amounts will be near this range, a 38% chance that rainfall amount will be below this range and approximately 9% chance that rainfall amounts will exceed this range.
“The probability of lower than normal amount of rainfall will continue to rise with each month and this probability should dominate for the period September to February”, the Ministry said.