At a recent meeting of prominent economic and political analysts from across Latin America, I was surprised to hear Brazilian economist Paulo Rabello de Castro make a bold forecast: that Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff won’t win this year’s elections.
When I heard him say that, I smiled, and joked to him that if he turns out to be right, he will become Brazil’s most famous political forecaster, because virtually all polls agree that Rousseff will be re-elected in the October elections.
But when I read a poll titled ‘Brazilian discontent ahead of the World Cup,’