Guyana-Venezuela border controversy takes on new meaning in light of Maduro’s waning support

Dear Editor,

I am compelled to write about a pressing issue that seems to be on many minds lately: are we really going to war with Venezuela? This concern, I believe, is closely related to the internal political machinations surrounding Venezuela’s upcoming 2024 election. President Maduro, who rose to power following Chavez’s death, has been at the helm through several elections marred by accusations of rigging and suppression of opposition candidates.

A noteworthy development in this context is Maduro’s recent agreement signed in Barbados on October 17, 2023. This is a significant departure from his previous stance since assuming the presidency. The agreement includes commitments to ensure fair play in the 2024 presidential elections, indicating a potential shift towards more transparent and democratic election processes. This is a remarkable step for the Venezuelan government, which has been previously criticised for unfair electoral practices. The involvement of the European Union as observers and the introduction of new electoral conditions are central to this agreement, aiming for a just and fair election.

This shift is especially significant considering the rising popularity of opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, who won a resounding 90% in the primaries, in stark contrast to Maduro’s waning support. For the first time, Maduro faces a real threat to his power. In this light, the Guyana-Venezuela border controversy takes on new meaning. Maduro seems to be using this issue to rally nationalistic support ahead of the general elections. This is in contrast to Maria Machado’s preference for a World Court resolution to the dispute, further highlighting the differences between the incumbent and the opposition.

These developments are pivotal and should be viewed in the context of Venezuela’s evolving political landscape and the potential for significant change in that country’s direction.

Sincerely,

Alfonso De Armas