Rawle Lucas

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Reaching across the ocean

(Final part) Diaspora Aid There is little doubt that the development of Guyana over the last 20 years has been driven, in part, by the massive resource input of money, goods and skills contributed by the Guyana Diaspora. 

In the third week of trading in September 2012, the Lucas Stock Index (LSI) gave up 2.09 percent of its value.  The stocks of two companies were active this week with both of them, Banks DIH (DIH) and Demerara Bank Limited (DBL), losing value.  DIH gave up 9.09 percent while DBL gave up 6.35 percent.  As a result, the LSI now exceeds the yield of the 364-day Treasury Bills by more than 24 percentage points.

Reaching across the ocean-(cont’d)

Personal The decision to leave one’s country is a personal one, and as is often the case, the reasons are linked to ambition, economics, and safety and security. 

In the second week of trading in September 2012, the Lucas Stock Index (LSI) posted a nearly five percent increase in value.  The stocks of four companies were active this week with Demerara Distillers Limited (DDL) recording a 20-percent increase in value and Guyana Bank for Trade and Industry (BTI) advancing by 21.25 percent.  The other two companies, Banks DIH (DIH) and Demerara Bank Limited (DBL), recorded no gain in the value of their stocks.  Trades this week saw a major shift in ranking with BTI surpassing DIH to occupy the number two spot in market capitalization and to assert itself as a market leader.  This week’s change in value by 4.95 percent is also a major development since the LSI has been averaging growth of only 0.33 percent over the last four weeks.  As a result, the LSI now exceeds the yield of the 364-day Treasury Bills by more than 27 percentage points.

Reaching across the ocean

Diaspora Unit Many years after they left the country for a variety of reasons, and settled in other places around the globe, the diaspora that Guyanese became is now a focus of the Guyana Government. 

LUCAS STOCK INDEX LSI
In week three of July 2012, the Lucas Stock Index (LSI) rose 0.39 per cent.  The slight increase came from a 7.69 per cent increase in the stocks of Citizens Bank Inc (CBI) and a slight rise in the share price of Banks DIH (DIH).  The index got no help from Demerara Bank Limited (DBL), Demerara Tobacco Company (DTC), and Guyana Bank for Trade and Industry (GBTI) whose stock prices remained unchanged.  As a result, the LSI remains above the yield of the 364-day Treasury Bills by about 14 percentage points.

When being small is a blessing

Small size Quite often Guyanese lament the small size of their economy, but just for one time, they might be glad that their country is small. 

LUCAS STOCK INDEX LSI
In week one of July 2012, the Lucas Stock Index (LSI) rose 1.71 percent.  The lift in the index was provided by the continued strong performance of the stocks of Guyana Bank for Trade and Industry (BTI) which recorded a seven percent gain in value, and that of Demerara Distillers Limited (DDL) with a six percent expansion. Banks DIH (DIH) added to the gain with a one percent increase.  In the meanwhile, trades by Caribbean Container Inc (CCI), Demerara Bank Limited (DBL) and Republic Bank Limited (RBL) produced no gain this week.  As a result, the LSI continues its upward movement and now exceeds the yield of the 364-day Treasury Bills by more than 16 percentage points.

Manufacturing pushes back

By Rawle Lucas Reluctance Guyanese are going through a catharsis brought on by the new distribution of political power and a growing sense that their new found influence will eventually break down the stone wall of corruption that was built under the previous administration. 

Disqualified

Sincerity Recent news reports indicated that the Public Accounts Committee (PAC) on Monday ended up approving staffing appointments and promotions of persons working in the office of the Auditor-General (AG). 

LUCAS STOCK INDEX LSI In the first week of June the Lucas Stock Index (LSI) gained 1.29 per cent.  This was attributable to a rise in the stock value of Caribbean Container Inc (CCI) and Demerara Tobacco Company (DTC) which rose 0.67 and 10.64 per cent respectively.  As a result, the LSI exceeds the yield on the 364-day risk-free Treasuries that will mature in December 2012 by over seven percentage points.

Is Datang likely to take over GT&T fully?

Satisfactory first quarter The Guyana Telephone and Telegraph Company, generally referred to as GT&T, was formed in 1991 after the Government of Guyana (GOG) under the late President Desmond Hoyte sold an 80 per cent share of the state-owned entity Guyana Telecommunications Corporation (GTC) to Atlantic Tele-Network, or ATN. 

LUCAS STOCK INDEX LSI The LSI lost 0.61 percent in trading in the third week of May 2012.  Two of the three stocks that traded lost value.  Banks DIH (DIH) lost 1.38 percent while Demerara Bank Limited (DBL) gave back almost all the gains of last week in losing 3.12 percent of its value.  Demerara Distillers Limited (DDL) eked out a gain of 0.92 percent to record the only positive movement by stocks this week.  As a result, the difference between the index and the yield of the 364-day Treasury Bills fell below five percentage points.

An inconsistent performer

Needed Focus With the service sector accounting for two-thirds of the output of the economy, the behavior of major industries in that sector deserve some attention. 

LUCAS STOCK INDEX No stock trades occurred in the last week of April 2012.  As a result, the difference between the index and the yield of the 364-day Treasury Bills remained unchanged.

Stress test of a different kind (cont’d)

Targets Two things are obvious from the preceding week’s presentation.  The first is that both financial and non-financial institutions are targets of the FATCA law, and the other is that the new rules affect them in similar ways. 

The Service Sector

Critical Indicator The service sector is the largest sector of the Guyana economy in more ways than one. 

Raising hopes and aspirations

Early Appeal As Guyanese were coming to the endof the Lenten Season, they were presented with a new fiscal offering from the newly constituted Donald Ramotaradministration. 

LUCAS STOCK INDEX  The LSI remained unchanged in the first week of trading in April 2012.  All three stocks that traded, Banks DIH (DIH), Demerara Bank Limited (DBL) and Demerara Distillers Limited (DDL), recorded no change in value.  As a consequence, the index remained 2.43 points above the Treasury yield.

Power and finance

Scrutiny In the last few days, the Guyana Power and Light Company (GPL) has come under intense press scrutiny for a financial decision that it made about generators used in its operations.

LUCAS STOCK INDEX  The LSI declined 4.84 percent in the fourth week of trading in March 2012.  The decline was on account of a 9.33 percent drop in the price of the stock of Banks DIH (DIH) and the light trading on the exchange this week.  The stocks of DIH were joined by those of Demerara Distillers Limited (DDL) in trading this week, with the latter showing no change.  The loss pushed the index down to just 2.43 points above the Treasury yield.

Wanted: Public Assistance

Public Accountability Most times when there is an appeal for public assistance, it is the Police seeking help finding a suspect or some vulnerable community or needy individuals in search of government aid. 

LUCAS STOCK INDEX LSI  The LSI rose 0.10 percent in the second week of trading in March 2012.  The slight gain was achieved on account of a strong showing by the stock of Demerara Tobacco Company (DTC) which rose 9.49 percent, and with aid from Demerara Distillers Limited (DDL) which rose 0.94 percent.  The stock of Sterling Products Limited (SPL) remained unchanged.  The gain was lowered by the stock of Demerara Bank Limited (DBL) which fell 7.14 percent.   As a result, the index returned to positive territory this week.

Attitudes and the exchange rate

Sudden Obsession The issue of the value of the Guyana dollar versus other currencies keeps popping up lately in conversations at socials and on the street. 

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